Le Puy Footvs
Orleans
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 9/5/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Le Puy Foot 0-0 Orleans, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Le Puy Foot 1-1 Orleans
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.7% | 35.5% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.6% | 30.9% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.7% | 33.6% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.18 · Draw 2.18 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Projected Score
Le Puy Foot 0–0 Orleans
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.9%
Model confidence
35.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Le Puy FootLWLWL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
OrleansLWLWW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Le Puy FootOrleans
25.0Attack41.7
75.0Defence75.0
50.0Form50.0
51.8Power56.2
0.87xG0.89