Le Havrevs
Stade Brestois 29
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 1 · 9/5/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Le Havre · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Le Havre 1-2 Stade Brestois 29
Original prediction
Le Havre
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 35.9% | 37.0% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 29.1% | 28.0% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.71 | 35.0% | 35.0% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Le Havre
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Le Havre has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Le HavreDLWLL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Stade Brestois 29DDLDW
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Le HavreStade Brestois 29
16.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence33.3
16.7Form33.3
36.5Power48.3
1.45xG1.37