Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Le Havre · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (8%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Le Havre 0-0 Angers
Original prediction
Le Havre
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 35.3% | 36.7% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 29.1% | 27.8% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 35.6% | 35.5% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Le Havre
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Le Havre has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Le HavreLDLWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AngersLWLWW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Le HavreAngers
22.2Attack44.4
55.6Defence44.4
11.1Form33.3
32.9Power42.2
1.36xG1.30