GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 9/11/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: LDU Portoviejo 0-0 Santo Domingo, with an exact score probability of 41%.

Prediction record

Final result

LDU Portoviejo 1-0 Santo Domingo

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0843.5%28.8%-14.7 pts
Draw2.7632.7%40.0%7.3 pts
Away3.7823.9%31.2%7.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

7.3 pts

Projected Score

LDU Portoviejo 0–0 Santo Domingo

Exact score probability: 41%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LDU PortoviejoWDWDD

GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 0.80/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Santo DomingoWWDDW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LDU PortoviejoSanto Domingo
26.4Attack30.6
69.4Defence76.4
43.1Form47.2
48.7Power53.0
0.40xG0.52
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