GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 10/17/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: LDU Portoviejo 0-0 Gualaceo SC, with an exact score probability of 33%.

Prediction record

Final result

LDU Portoviejo 0-0 Gualaceo SC

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1940.7%28.0%-12.7 pts
Draw2.6433.8%37.1%3.2 pts
Away3.5125.4%34.9%9.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.64 · Draw 1.64 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.3 pts

Projected Score

LDU Portoviejo 0–0 Gualaceo SC

Exact score probability: 33%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

37.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LDU PortoviejoDWDDL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gualaceo SCDWWLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
LDU PortoviejoGualaceo SC
31.0Attack36.8
67.8Defence78.2
46.0Form52.9
50.8Power57.3
0.47xG0.66
View match centre →