GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 3/28/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

LDU Portoviejo are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while El Nacional are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and LDU Portoviejo hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 33.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the Liga Pro Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

47.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LDU PortoviejoLLLDD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
El NacionalLLWLL

GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
LDU PortoviejoEl Nacional
23.8Attack22.2
65.1Defence50.8
38.1Form17.5
45.2Power33.0
0.79xG0.43
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