LDU Portoviejovs
22 de Julio
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 9/24/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
LDU Portoviejo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: LDU Portoviejo 0-0 22 de Julio, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
LDU Portoviejo 2-2 22 de Julio
Original prediction
LDU Portoviejo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.09 | 82.0% | 63.5% | -18.5 pts |
| Draw | 6.76 | 13.2% | 26.4% | 13.2 pts |
| Away | 18.75 | 4.8% | 10.1% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 5.76 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.5 pts
Projected Score
LDU Portoviejo 0–0 22 de Julio
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
LDU Portoviejo
Probability
63.5%
Model confidence
63.5%
LDU Portoviejo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 1 · GA 18 · avg 0.20/3.60