LDU de Quitovs
Universidad Catolica
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 9/20/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: LDU de Quito 0-0 Universidad Catolica, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
LDU de Quito 2-1 Universidad Catolica
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.5% | 31.2% | -11.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.1% | 31.8% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.4% | 37.0% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Projected Score
LDU de Quito 0–0 Universidad Catolica
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.8%
Model confidence
37.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LDU de QuitoWDLWD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Universidad CatolicaWWWDD
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LDU de QuitoUniversidad Catolica
34.4Attack56.7
73.3Defence70.0
51.1Form56.7
54.7Power61.1
0.65xG0.84