LDU de Quitovs
Universidad Catolica
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 3/15/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
LDU de Quito are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Universidad Catolica are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 25.3% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
25.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40