GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 3/15/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

LDU de Quito are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Universidad Catolica are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 25.3% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

25.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LDU de QuitoLLWWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Universidad CatolicaWDLWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LDU de QuitoUniversidad Catolica
31.9Attack54.2
72.2Defence70.8
48.6Form54.2
52.8Power59.5
0.59xG0.84
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