LDU de Quitovs
Palmeiras
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 9/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: LDU de Quito 0-0 Palmeiras, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
LDU de Quito 3-2 Palmeiras
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 35.2% | 28.7% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 30.2% | 33.9% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 34.6% | 37.5% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Projected Score
LDU de Quito 0–0 Palmeiras
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.9%
Model confidence
37.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LDU de QuitoDLWDL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PalmeirasWWDDD
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
LDU de QuitoPalmeiras
33.3Attack48.1
74.1Defence77.8
51.9Form66.7
55.0Power65.9
0.57xG0.75