GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/11/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

LDU de Quito · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

LDU de Quito are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Nublense are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and LDU de Quito hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (65.4 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while LDU de Quito holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

LDU de Quito

Probability

51.9%

Model confidence

51.9%

LDU de Quito has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LDU de QuitoWWWDD

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
NublenseLLWDW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LDU de QuitoNublense
54.8Attack33.3
81.0Defence75.0
61.9Form58.3
65.4Power58.8
1.31xG0.52
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