GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 9/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

LDU de Quito · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: LDU de Quito 0-0 Mushuc Runa SC, with an exact score probability of 23%.

Prediction record

Final result

LDU de Quito 0-0 Mushuc Runa SC

Original prediction

LDU de Quito

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6953.9%46.3%-7.6 pts
Draw3.5325.8%30.7%4.9 pts
Away4.5020.3%22.9%2.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.53 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.6 pts

Projected Score

LDU de Quito 0–0 Mushuc Runa SC

Exact score probability: 23%

Predicted outcome

LDU de Quito

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

LDU de Quito has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LDU de QuitoLWWDW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Mushuc Runa SCWDDWW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
LDU de QuitoMushuc Runa SC
33.3Attack40.7
72.8Defence58.0
50.6Form44.4
54.1Power49.6
0.91xG0.60
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