LDU de Quitovs
Magallanes
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/20/2023, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
LDU de Quito · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
LDU de Quito are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Magallanes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and LDU de Quito hold a 31.3-point power-rating edge (65.4 v 34.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while LDU de Quito holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
LDU de Quito
Probability
74.8%
Model confidence
74.8%
LDU de Quito has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60