LDU de Quitovs
Macara
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 10/24/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
LDU de Quito · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: LDU de Quito 0-0 Macara, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
LDU de Quito 1-2 Macara
Original prediction
LDU de Quito
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 59.9% | 42.6% | -17.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.7% | 30.9% | 7.2 pts |
| Away | 5.57 | 16.4% | 26.5% | 10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.3 pts
Projected Score
LDU de Quito 0–0 Macara
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
LDU de Quito
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
LDU de Quito has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LDU de QuitoDWWWD
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
MacaraWWWWL
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LDU de QuitoMacara
36.4Attack45.5
72.7Defence65.7
53.5Form60.6
56.1Power58.8
0.79xG0.69