Liga ProLiga Pro
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:12
LDU de Quito

LDU de Quito

Home
LLW
01
Full time
Leones del Norte

Leones del Norte

Away
D
Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
LDU de Quito(39%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
LDU de Quito
39%
Draw
28%
Leones del Norte
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
LDU de Quito
34
Leones del Norte
34
Defence
LDU de Quito
77
Leones del Norte
66
Momentum
LDU de Quito
33
Leones del Norte
33
Danger (xG)
LDU de Quito
0.90
Leones del Norte
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (LDU de Quito)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Leones del Norte)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (LDU de Quito)
0.60
avg per match
xG against (Leones del Norte)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
LLWDW
Leones del NorteLeones del Norte
D

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
LDU de Quito39%
Draw28%
Leones del Norte33%

LDU de Quito leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

LDU de Quito head into this in Liga Pro fixture at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado in mixed form (LLW), while Leones del Norte arrive in mixed form (D). LDU de Quito have a 33% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 0% for Leones del Norte over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — LDU de Quito (77/100) and Leones del Norte (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

LDU de Quito have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. Leones del Norte have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between LDU de Quito and Leones del Norte in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects LDU de Quito to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: LDU de Quito 3934%, Draw 2770%, Leones del Norte 3296%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

LDU de Quito

LDU de Quito

L
@ Universidad Catolica
15 Jul 2026
01
L
@ Macara
5 Jul 2026
01
W
vs Orense SC
1 Jul 2026
30
D
vs Tecnico Universitario
15 May 2026
11
W
@ Mushuc Runa SC
12 May 2026
31
Leones del Norte

Leones del Norte

D
vs Deportivo Cuenca
15 Jul 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win LDU de Quito vs Leones del Norte?

GoalVio's model predicts LDU de Quito to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for LDU de Quito vs Leones del Norte?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in LDU de Quito vs Leones del Norte?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in LDU de Quito vs Leones del Norte?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more