GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/15/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

LDU de Quito · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

LDU de Quito are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lanus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and LDU de Quito hold a 24.7-point power-rating edge (65.4 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while LDU de Quito holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

LDU de Quito

Probability

65.0%

Model confidence

65.0%

LDU de Quito has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LDU de QuitoWWDLW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
LanusLWLWD

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LDU de QuitoLanus
54.8Attack33.3
81.0Defence33.3
61.9Form50.0
65.4Power40.7
1.82xG0.53
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