LDU de Quitovs
Lanus
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/15/2024, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
LDU de Quito · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
LDU de Quito are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lanus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and LDU de Quito hold a 24.7-point power-rating edge (65.4 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while LDU de Quito holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
LDU de Quito
Probability
65.0%
Model confidence
65.0%
LDU de Quito has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20