GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 9/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

LDU de Quito · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: LDU de Quito 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca, with an exact score probability of 27%.

Prediction record

Final result

LDU de Quito 1-1 Deportivo Cuenca

Original prediction

LDU de Quito

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5359.6%53.9%-5.8 pts
Draw3.9223.3%30.5%7.2 pts
Away5.3417.1%15.7%-1.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.92 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.8 pts

Projected Score

LDU de Quito 0–0 Deportivo Cuenca

Exact score probability: 27%

Predicted outcome

LDU de Quito

Probability

53.9%

Model confidence

53.9%

LDU de Quito has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LDU de QuitoLWDLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo CuencaLWLDL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
LDU de QuitoDeportivo Cuenca
34.5Attack27.6
73.6Defence58.6
51.7Form40.2
55.0Power44.9
0.94xG0.39
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