GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/8/2023, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

LDU de Quito · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

LDU de Quito are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Delfin SC are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and LDU de Quito hold a 58.4-point power-rating edge (65.4 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while LDU de Quito holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

LDU de Quito

Probability

68.3%

Model confidence

68.3%

LDU de Quito has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LDU de QuitoDLWDD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Delfin SCLD

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/3.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
LDU de QuitoDelfin SC
54.8Attack0.0
81.0Defence0.0
61.9Form0.0
65.4Power7.0
1.92xG0.49
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