GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 9/27/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

LDU de Quito · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

LDU de Quito are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Defensa Y Justicia are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 65.4 against 65.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while LDU de Quito holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

LDU de Quito

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

LDU de Quito has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LDU de QuitoWLWLW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Defensa Y JusticiaDWDWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LDU de QuitoDefensa Y Justicia
54.8Attack58.3
81.0Defence61.1
61.9Form72.2
65.4Power65.1
1.36xG0.78
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