GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 6/30/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

LDU de Quito · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

LDU de Quito are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cesar Vallejo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and LDU de Quito hold a 28.1-point power-rating edge (65.4 v 37.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while LDU de Quito holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

LDU de Quito

Probability

74.4%

Model confidence

74.4%

LDU de Quito has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LDU de QuitoDDDWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cesar VallejoLLWWD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LDU de QuitoCesar Vallejo
54.8Attack52.4
81.0Defence19.0
61.9Form33.3
65.4Power37.3
2.45xG0.62
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