LDU de Quitovs
Barcelona SC
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 10/11/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
LDU de Quito · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: LDU de Quito 0-0 Barcelona SC, with an exact score probability of 33%.
Prediction record
Final result
LDU de Quito 2-1 Barcelona SC
Original prediction
LDU de Quito
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 60.1% | 41.2% | -18.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.5% | 34.7% | 11.2 pts |
| Away | 5.56 | 16.4% | 24.0% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.8 pts
Projected Score
LDU de Quito 0–0 Barcelona SC
Exact score probability: 33%
Predicted outcome
LDU de Quito
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
LDU de Quito has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00