GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 3/4/2023, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

LDU de Quito are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Aucas are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Aucas hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 56.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LDU de QuitoLWDDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AucasLDLDD

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
LDU de QuitoAucas
31.9Attack40.3
72.2Defence65.3
48.6Form56.9
52.8Power56.0
0.70xG0.62
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