LDU de Quitovs
Aucas
COMPLETEDEcuador · Copa Ecuador · 8/26/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
LDU de Quito · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
LDU de Quito 1-0 Aucas
Original prediction
LDU de Quito
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 52.0% | 39.1% | -12.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.7% | 29.1% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 4.27 | 21.3% | 31.8% | 10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
LDU de Quito
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
LDU de Quito has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40