LD Alajuelensevs
Plaza Amador
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 8/27/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
LD Alajuelense · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
LD Alajuelense 3-1 Plaza Amador
Original prediction
LD Alajuelense
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.0% | 45.6% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.1% | 25.6% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 4.13 | 21.9% | 28.8% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
LD Alajuelense
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
LD Alajuelense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40