LD Alajuelensevs
Perez Zeledon
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Primera División · 10/26/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
LD Alajuelense · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: LD Alajuelense 2-0 Perez Zeledon, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
LD Alajuelense 1-0 Perez Zeledon
Original prediction
LD Alajuelense
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 70.9% | 71.2% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.94 | 18.4% | 17.9% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 8.53 | 10.7% | 10.9% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Projected Score
LD Alajuelense 2–0 Perez Zeledon
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
LD Alajuelense
Probability
71.2%
Model confidence
71.2%
LD Alajuelense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40