GGOALVIO

World · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 8/2/2023, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

LD Alajuelense · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

LD Alajuelense are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Olancho are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WLWD), averaging 1.75 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and LD Alajuelense hold a 49.9-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 36.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the CONCACAF Central American Cup, while LD Alajuelense holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

LD Alajuelense

Probability

52.3%

Model confidence

52.3%

LD Alajuelense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LD AlajuelenseDW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
OlanchoWLWD

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.75/0.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
LD AlajuelenseOlancho
66.7Attack25.0
83.3Defence50.0
100.0Form25.0
86.5Power36.6
1.92xG0.85
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