GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Primera División · 7/30/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

LD Alajuelense · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

LD Alajuelense are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Municipal Liberia are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and LD Alajuelense hold a 25.7-point power-rating edge (74.7 v 49.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.1% in the Primera División, while LD Alajuelense holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

LD Alajuelense

Probability

55.1%

Model confidence

55.1%

LD Alajuelense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LD AlajuelenseW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Municipal LiberiaL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/4.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
LD AlajuelenseMunicipal Liberia
66.7Attack54.5
77.8Defence43.9
77.8Form44.7
74.7Power49.0
2.03xG1.10
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