LD Alajuelensevs
Inter San Carlos
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Primera División · 9/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
LD Alajuelense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: LD Alajuelense 0-0 Inter San Carlos, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
LD Alajuelense 5-0 Inter San Carlos
Original prediction
LD Alajuelense
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 52.3% | 37.9% | -14.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.1% | 29.3% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 4.21 | 21.6% | 32.9% | 11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.4 pts
Projected Score
LD Alajuelense 0–0 Inter San Carlos
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
LD Alajuelense
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
LD Alajuelense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60