LD Alajuelensevs
Deportivo Saprissa
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Primera División · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Saprissa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
LD Alajuelense 0-2 Deportivo Saprissa
Original prediction
Deportivo Saprissa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.41 | 37.8% | 34.6% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.6% | 27.9% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 32.6% | 37.5% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Saprissa
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Deportivo Saprissa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20