LD Alajuelensevs
CS Herediano
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Primera División · 10/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
LD Alajuelense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: LD Alajuelense 2-0 CS Herediano, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
LD Alajuelense 1-1 CS Herediano
Original prediction
LD Alajuelense
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.5% | 63.0% | 14.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.6% | 22.1% | -5.4 pts |
| Away | 3.79 | 24.0% | 14.8% | -9.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.5 pts
Projected Score
LD Alajuelense 2–0 CS Herediano
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
LD Alajuelense
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
63.0%
LD Alajuelense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40