Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lazio W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lazio W are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (LWWW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Parma W are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lazio W hold a 36.8-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 26.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the Serie A Cup Women, while Lazio W holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lazio W
Probability
60.0%
Model confidence
10.9%
Lazio W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/1.25
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/2.33