Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lazio W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lazio W are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Parma W are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Lazio W hold a 36.8-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 26.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.8% in the Serie A Cup Women, while Lazio W holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lazio W
Probability
57.8%
Model confidence
57.8%
Lazio W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00