Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lazio W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
11%
MediumconfidenceLazio W are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (LWWW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Napoli W are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and lazio W hold a 41.1-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 22.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Serie A Cup Women, favouring Lazio W with 10.6% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lazio W
Probability
61.2%
Model confidence
10.6%
Lazio W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Lazio WLWWW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/1.25
BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Napoli WLDL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/2.67
BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Lazio WNapoli W
50.0Attack33.3
58.3Defence11.1
75.0Form11.1
63.2Power22.2
2.11xG0.99