Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lazio W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lazio W 4-2 Napoli W
Original prediction
Lazio W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Lazio W
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Lazio W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Lazio WLWWW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/1.25
BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Napoli WLDL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/2.67
BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Lazio WNapoli W
50.0Attack33.3
58.3Defence11.1
75.0Form11.1
63.2Power22.2
2.11xG0.99