LaziovsReal Sociedad

Lazio are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Real Sociedad are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lazio hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (69.9 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lazio holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.