Laziovs
Ludogorets
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 11/28/2024, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lazio · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Lazio are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ludogorets are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Lazio hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (69.9 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lazio holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lazio
Probability
66.8%
Model confidence
66.8%
Lazio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00