Laziovs
Bodo/Glimt
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 4/17/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lazio · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Lazio are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Bodo/Glimt are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lazio hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (69.9 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lazio holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lazio
Probability
65.6%
Model confidence
65.6%
Lazio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60