Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sochaux · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Laval 1-1 Sochaux
Original prediction
Sochaux
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 39.7% | 30.9% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 30.0% | 29.0% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.07 | 30.3% | 40.1% | 9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.10 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
Sochaux
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Sochaux has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LavalLLLDW
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SochauxWDDWD
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
LavalSochaux
38.9Attack16.7
27.8Defence77.8
22.2Form50.0
33.0Power50.9
0.85xG1.20