Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Laval · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Laval 1-0 Rennes
Original prediction
Laval
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 09:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.19 | 21.9% | 41.3% | 19.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 22.2% | 24.2% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 1.64 | 55.9% | 34.5% | -21.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 3.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Laval
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Laval has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LavalDLLLD
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
RennesLDWWW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LavalRennes
66.7Attack61.9
50.0Defence28.6
45.8Form33.3
53.4Power43.4
2.87xG1.64