Lavalvs
RED Star FC 93
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 2 · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
RED Star FC 93 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Laval 1-2 RED Star FC 93
Original prediction
RED Star FC 93
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.01 | 30.9% | 34.4% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 29.2% | 28.9% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 39.8% | 36.8% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
RED Star FC 93
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
RED Star FC 93 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60