Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 10:00
Laval

Laval

Home
W
50
Full time
Quevilly

Quevilly

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Draw35%
Laval35%
Quevilly30%
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Laval
Win probability
Laval
35%
Draw
35%
Quevilly
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Laval
100
Quevilly
9
Defence
Laval
91
Quevilly
0
Momentum
Laval
100
Quevilly
0
Danger (xG)
Laval
4.50
Quevilly
0.00
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 2.16 xG for Laval and 1.09 xG for Quevilly — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Laval holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's meaningful attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.25 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Laval)
4.50
avg per match
xG for (Quevilly)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Laval)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Quevilly)
4.50
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
LavalLaval
W
QuevillyQuevilly
LW

Probability breakdown

35% confidence
Laval35%
Draw35%
Quevilly30%

Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Laval Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Laval host Quevilly in Friendlies Clubs. Laval have recorded DWWLWL in recent matches while Quevilly arrive with a run of LWLLDD. These sides have met 10 times recently, averaging 2.6 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 2.16 for Laval and 1.09 for Quevilly. The gap of 1.07 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Laval have been conceding 1.59 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • These sides have drawn 4 of their last 10 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Head to head

Laval 1Draws 00 Quevilly
Avg goals: 5.0
15 Jul 2026
Laval
W50
Quevilly

Recent form

Laval

Laval

W
vs Quevilly
15 Jul 2026
50
Quevilly

Quevilly

L
@ Laval
15 Jul 2026
05
W
vs Gobelins
15 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Laval vs Quevilly?

GoalVio's model predicts Laval to win with 35% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Laval vs Quevilly?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Laval vs Quevilly?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Laval vs Quevilly?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more