Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Laval · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Laval 0-3 Grenoble
Original prediction
Laval
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 45.1% | 47.6% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 29.4% | 26.9% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.66 | 25.5% | 25.5% | -0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Laval
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Laval has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LavalDWLDW
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
GrenobleLDLLD
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LavalGrenoble
44.4Attack22.2
44.4Defence11.1
44.4Form11.1
47.5Power19.5
1.71xG0.96