GGOALVIO

France · Ligue 2 · 10/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Laval · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Laval 3-3 Clermont Foot

Original prediction

Laval

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1343.5%36.5%-7.0 pts
Draw3.2428.6%30.4%1.8 pts
Away3.3327.8%33.1%5.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.24 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–013%
  3. 3.0–111%

Predicted outcome

Laval

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Laval has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LavalLWDLL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Clermont FootLLDDD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
LavalClermont Foot
41.7Attack25.0
29.2Defence62.5
20.8Form25.0
33.7Power40.5
1.05xG1.08
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