Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lauterach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lauterach 4-2 Wolfurt
Original prediction
Lauterach
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 53.5% | 54.2% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.6% | 18.5% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.61 | 25.0% | 27.4% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–17%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Lauterach
Probability
54.2%
Model confidence
54.2%
Lauterach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LauterachLWLDD
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WolfurtLLLLL
GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
LauterachWolfurt
50.0Attack43.3
20.0Defence16.7
20.0Form23.3
31.7Power30.9
2.74xG1.95