Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hohenems · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lauterach 1-3 Hohenems
Original prediction
Hohenems
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.59 | 19.7% | 21.9% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.42 | 20.5% | 20.9% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 1.51 | 59.8% | 57.2% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Hohenems
Probability
57.2%
Model confidence
57.2%
Hohenems has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LauterachLDLLL
GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HohenemsLWWWL
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
LauterachHohenems
58.3Attack100.0
8.3Defence66.7
8.3Form75.0
28.6Power76.6
1.41xG2.81