Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:13
Lausanne

Lausanne

Home
LL
30
Full time
Yverdon Sport

Yverdon Sport

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Draw35%
Lausanne34%
Yverdon Sport31%
Win probability
Lausanne
34%
Draw
35%
Yverdon Sport
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Lausanne
18
Yverdon Sport
9
Defence
Lausanne
14
Yverdon Sport
91
Momentum
Lausanne
0
Yverdon Sport
33
Danger (xG)
Lausanne
0.45
Yverdon Sport
0.00
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.37 xG for Lausanne and 1.32 xG for Yverdon Sport — meaningful and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.06), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.69 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Lausanne's Defensive Stability (14) and Yverdon Sport's (91) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Lausanne)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Yverdon Sport)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Lausanne)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (Yverdon Sport)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
LausanneLausanne
LL
Yverdon SportYverdon Sport
DDW

Probability breakdown

37% confidence
Lausanne34%
Draw35%
Yverdon Sport31%

Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Lausanne vs Yverdon Sport: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Lausanne take on Yverdon Sport in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Lausanne

Lausanne

L
vs Grasshoppers
16 May 2026
13
L
@ Servette FC
12 May 2026
02
Yverdon Sport

Yverdon Sport

D
@ Biel-Bienne
3 Jul 2026
00
D
@ FC Aarau
15 May 2026
22
W
vs Rapperswil
11 May 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Lausanne vs Yverdon Sport?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 37% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Lausanne vs Yverdon Sport?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Lausanne vs Yverdon Sport?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lausanne vs Yverdon Sport?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more