GGOALVIO

Switzerland · Super League · 8/6/2023, 12:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lausanne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lausanne are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Yverdon Sport are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lausanne hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.0% in the Super League, while Lausanne holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lausanne

Probability

57.0%

Model confidence

57.0%

Lausanne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LausanneDLWDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Yverdon SportDLLLW

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LausanneYverdon Sport
44.4Attack43.9
66.7Defence37.7
55.6Form41.2
59.1Power42.7
2.09xG1.07
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