GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lausanne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Lausanne are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Étoile Carouge are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Étoile Carouge hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (60.2 v 73.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lausanne holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lausanne

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Lausanne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LausanneWWLLL

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Étoile CarougeLLDLL

GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
LausanneÉtoile Carouge
63.0Attack88.9
55.6Defence38.9
59.3Form83.3
60.2Power73.5
2.27xG1.97
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