Lausannevs
Étoile Carouge
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lausanne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Lausanne are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Étoile Carouge are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Étoile Carouge hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (60.2 v 73.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lausanne holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lausanne
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Lausanne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00