GGOALVIO

Switzerland · Super League · 9/13/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lausanne · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Lausanne 0-1 Servette FC

Original prediction

Lausanne

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.2029.0%37.0%7.9 pts
Draw3.4227.1%28.3%1.2 pts
Away2.1243.8%34.8%-9.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

7.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–012%
  3. 3.1–012%

Predicted outcome

Lausanne

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

Lausanne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LausanneLDLLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Servette FCLLDWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LausanneServette FC
33.3Attack22.2
52.4Defence55.6
28.6Form22.2
41.1Power36.4
1.21xG1.00
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