Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Thun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 01:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
FC Thun
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
FC Thun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LausanneLLLDL
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC ThunWLLLD
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LausanneFC Thun
25.9Attack55.6
44.4Defence14.8
22.2Form37.0
33.7Power37.9
1.59xG1.72