GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 4/1/2023, 4:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South Hobart · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Highconfidence

Launceston United are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 4.00 conceded, while South Hobart are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart hold a 65.5-point power-rating edge (17.5 v 83.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 91.7% in the Tasmania NPL, while South Hobart holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South Hobart

Probability

91.7%

Model confidence

91.7%

South Hobart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Launceston UnitedLL

GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.50/4.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
South HobartDW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Launceston UnitedSouth Hobart
31.5Attack100.0
0.0Defence70.4
9.3Form87.0
17.5Power83.0
0.60xG4.50
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